AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Bicycle Repairers?

Estimated risk score: 14 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 33).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 16 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 49-3091.00 · Installation, Maintenance, and Repair

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 1 of its 16 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Order bicycle parts.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 13 of its 16 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Align wheels.
  2. Assemble new bicycles.
  3. Build wheels by cutting and threading new spokes.
  4. Clean and lubricate bicycle parts.
  5. Disassemble axles to repair, adjust, and replace defective parts, using hand tools.
  6. Install and adjust brakes and brake pads.

What the job is

Repair and service bicycles.

Also called: Bike Mechanic, Bicycle Mechanic, Bicycle Technician, Bicycle Service Technician, Bicycle Fitter, Bike Assembler, Bicycle Assembler, Bicycle Repairman.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate