Will AI replace an Electrician?
Estimated risk score: 12 out of 100
Very low replacement risk
Estimate · how we score
Our take: Bodies, hands, and judgment in physical space. One of the safest jobs that exists.
Horizon: about 10 years. That is our estimate of how long until headcount in this role falls by 30% or more.
Median salary $65k a year · Trades
What AI already does well
- Code research and permitting paperwork
- Standard estimate generation and quoting
Why this role holds up
- Everything physical. AI can't pull wire through a 1950s wall.
- Inspection, troubleshooting, and code compliance
- Owning a small business and managing crews
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The closest scores in Trades, then across all 41 jobs
How we score. Each score is our estimate, from 0 to 100, of how exposed a role is to AI replacement, calibrated against published research: Goldman Sachs on generative AI (2023), McKinsey’s State of AI surveys, Brynjolfsson and Mitchell (Science, 2017) and Frey and Osborne (2013; published 2017). It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree with a score? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. Read the methodology
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