Will AI replace a Therapist / Counselor?
Estimated risk score: 38 out of 100
Lower replacement risk
Estimate · how we score
Our take: AI chatbots take the easy cases. The hard ones still need a human.
Horizon: about 5 years. That is our estimate of how long until headcount in this role falls by 30% or more.
Median salary $75k a year · Healthcare
What AI already does well
- Initial intake and standardized assessment scoring
- Routine CBT homework and check-in messages
- Insurance documentation and treatment-plan writing
Why this role holds up
- Trauma-informed care and complex psychiatric cases
- Group therapy and family systems work
- Specialty modalities (EMDR, DBT, somatic experiencing)
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The closest scores in Healthcare, then across all 41 jobs
How we score. Each score is our estimate, from 0 to 100, of how exposed a role is to AI replacement, calibrated against published research: Goldman Sachs on generative AI (2023), McKinsey’s State of AI surveys, Brynjolfsson and Mitchell (Science, 2017) and Frey and Osborne (2013; published 2017). It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree with a score? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. Read the methodology
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