AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Childcare Workers?

Estimated risk score: 21 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (2 to 40).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 25 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 39-9011.00 · Personal Care and Service

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 3 of its 25 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Keep records on individual children, including daily observations and information about activities, meals served, and medications administered.
  2. Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls.
  3. Help children with homework and school work.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 20 of its 25 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Assist in preparing food and serving meals and refreshments to children.
  2. Discipline children and recommend or initiate other measures to control behavior, such as caring for own clothing and picking up toys and books.
  3. Dress children and change diapers.
  4. Instruct children in health and personal habits, such as eating, resting, and toilet habits.
  5. Maintain a safe play environment.
  6. Observe and monitor children's play activities.

What the job is

Attend to children at schools, businesses, private households, and childcare institutions. Perform a variety of tasks, such as dressing, feeding, bathing, and overseeing play.

Also called: Child Care Worker, Childcare Provider, Nursemaid, Parent Aide, Daycare Aide, Child Monitor, Child's Nurse, Day Care Aide.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate