AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Customs Brokers?

Estimated risk score: 78 out of 100

High replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (59 to 97).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 23 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 13-1041.08 · Business and Financial Operations

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 14 of its 23 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Calculate duty and tariff payments owed on shipments.
  2. Classify goods according to tariff coding system.
  3. Prepare and process import and export documentation according to customs regulations, laws, or procedures.
  4. Prepare papers for shippers to appeal duty charges.
  5. Quote duty and tax rates on goods to be imported, based on federal tariffs and excise taxes.
  6. Sign documents on behalf of clients, using powers of attorney.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 0 of its 23 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

None of its rated tasks.

What the job is

Prepare customs documentation and ensure that shipments meet all applicable laws to facilitate the import and export of goods. Determine and track duties and taxes payable and process payments on behalf of client. Sign documents under a power of attorney. Represent clients in meetings with customs officials and apply for duty refunds and tariff reclassifications. Coordinate transportation and storage of imported goods.

Also called: Corporate Licensed Broker, CBP Agent, Cargo Broker, Entry Writer, Export Agent, Customs Analyst, Air Import Agent, Trade Facilitator.

Closest jobs we score by hand

In the same field (Business and Financial Operations). Different jobs, each scored by a person.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate