AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers?

Estimated risk score: 42 out of 100

Lower replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (23 to 61).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 12 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 41-9091.00 · Sales and Related

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 4 of its 12 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Answer questions about product features and benefits.
  2. Write and record orders for merchandise or enter orders into computers.
  3. Develop prospect lists.
  4. Order or purchase supplies.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 8 of its 12 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Circulate among potential customers or travel by foot, truck, automobile, or bicycle to deliver or sell merchandise or services.
  2. Deliver merchandise and collect payment.
  3. Distribute product samples or literature that details products or services.
  4. Set up and display sample merchandise at parties or stands.
  5. Arrange buying parties and solicit sponsorship of such parties to sell merchandise.
  6. Explain products or services and prices and demonstrate use of products.

What the job is

Sell goods or services door-to-door or on the street.

Also called: Direct Sales Coach, Door-to-Door Sales Trainer, Independent Sales Associate, Hawker, Peddler, Huckster, Bumboater, Book Agent.

Closest jobs we score by hand

In the same field (Sales and Related). Different jobs, each scored by a person.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate