Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers?
Estimated risk score: 41 out of 100
Lower replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (22 to 60).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 28 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 37-1012.00 · Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 5 of its 28 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Maintain required records, such as personnel information or project records.
- Perform administrative duties, such as authorizing leaves or processing time sheets.
- Prepare or maintain required records, such as work activity or personnel reports.
- Answer inquiries from current or prospective customers regarding methods, materials, or price ranges.
- Review contracts or work assignments to determine service, machine, or workforce requirements for jobs.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 12 of its 28 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Direct activities of workers who perform duties, such as landscaping, cultivating lawns, or pruning trees and shrubs.
- Direct or perform mixing or application of fertilizers, insecticides, herbicides, or fungicides.
- Install or maintain landscaped areas, performing tasks such as removing snow, pouring cement curbs, or repairing sidewalks.
- Plant or maintain vegetation through activities such as mulching, fertilizing, watering, mowing, or pruning.
- Provide workers with assistance in performing duties as necessary to meet deadlines.
- Confer with other supervisors to coordinate work activities with those of other departments or units.
What the job is
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of workers engaged in landscaping or groundskeeping activities. Work may involve reviewing contracts to ascertain service, machine, and workforce requirements; answering inquiries from potential customers regarding methods, material, and price ranges; and preparing estimates according to labor, material, and machine costs.
Also called: Grounds Manager, Grounds Supervisor, Landscape Supervisor, Golf Course Superintendent, Landscape PM, Turf Manager, Grounds Foreman, Gardening Manager.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate