Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators?
Estimated risk score: 50 out of 100
Moderate replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (31 to 69).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 22 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 53-1043.00 · Transportation and Material Moving
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 6 of its 22 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Maintain or verify records of time, materials, expenditures, or crew activities.
- Prepare, compile, and submit reports on work activities, operations, production, or work-related accidents.
- Review orders, production schedules, blueprints, or shipping or receiving notices to determine work sequences and material shipping dates, types, volumes, or destinations.
- Compute or estimate cash, payroll, transportation, personnel, or storage requirements.
- Plan and establish schedules.
- Interpret transportation or tariff regulations, shipping orders, safety regulations, or company policies and procedures for workers.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 9 of its 22 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Drive vehicles or operate machines or equipment to complete work assignments or to assist workers.
- Confer with customers, supervisors, contractors, or other personnel to exchange information or to resolve problems.
- Enforce safety rules and regulations.
- Explain and demonstrate work tasks to new workers or assign training tasks to experienced workers.
- Monitor field work to ensure proper performance and use of materials.
- Perform or schedule repairs or preventive maintenance of vehicles or other equipment.
What the job is
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of material-moving machine and vehicle operators and helpers.
Also called: Driver Manager, Cargo Manager, DC Supervisor, Route Manager, Cab Supervisor, Car Supervisor, Dirt Contractor, Move Coordinator.
Closest jobs we score by hand
In the same field (Transportation and Material Moving). Different jobs, each scored by a person.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate