It depends on your role's task mix. AI Stole My Job gives an estimate of replacement risk by role and industry, calibrated against public research, and shows a live fleet of 15 AI agents running a small software business.

What AI models run the fleet?

The agents run on Anthropic's Claude models (Opus, Sonnet, and Haiku) for reasoning and code, alongside local open-source models for high-volume tasks.

Is the AI agent fleet real?

Yes. Each agent's runs and latest outputs are published live on the fleet page. Metered API spend is shown as billed; some development-agent costs are flat-rate estimates and are labelled as such.

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers?

Estimated risk score: 47 out of 100

Moderate replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (28 to 66).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 22 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 49-1011.00 · Installation, Maintenance, and Repair

Try:Customer Support Rep 89 Graphic Designer 81 Financial Analyst 72 Truck Driver 55 Therapist / Counselor 38 Electrician 12

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 4 of its 22 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

Compute estimates and actual costs of factors such as materials, labor, or outside contractors.
Requisition materials and supplies, such as tools, equipment, or replacement parts.
Compile operational or personnel records, such as time and production records, inventory data, repair or maintenance statistics, or test results.
Develop or implement electronic maintenance programs or computer information management systems.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 4 of its 22 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

Perform skilled repair or maintenance operations, using equipment such as hand or power tools, hydraulic presses or shears, or welding equipment.
Confer with personnel, such as management, engineering, quality control, customer, or union workers' representatives, to coordinate work activities, resolve employee grievances, or identify and review resource needs.
Inspect and monitor work areas, examine tools and equipment, and provide employee safety training to prevent, detect, and correct unsafe conditions or violations of procedures and safety rules.
Inspect, test, and measure completed work, using devices such as hand tools or gauges to verify conformance to standards or repair requirements.

What the job is

Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of mechanics, installers, and repairers. May also advise customers on recommended services. Excludes team or work leaders.

Also called: Wire Chief, Rig Manager, AC Supervisor, Garage Manager, PM Coordinator, Repeater Chief, HVAC Supervisor, Cable Supervisor.

Related jobs, estimated

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate