Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers?
Estimated risk score: 52 out of 100
Moderate replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (33 to 71).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 20 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 51-1011.00 · Production
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 6 of its 20 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.
- Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.
- Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.
- Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.
- Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.
- Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 7 of its 20 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Set up and adjust machines and equipment.
- Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.
- Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.
- Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.
- Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.
- Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.
What the job is
Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.
Also called: Assembly Supervisor, Manufacturing Supervisor, Beater Boss, Tipple Boss, Breaker Boss, Gauger Chief, Acid Supervisor, Dyer Supervisor.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate