AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Food and Tobacco Roasting, Baking, and Drying Machine Operators and Tenders?

Estimated risk score: 13 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 32).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 20 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 51-3091.00 · Production

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 1 of its 20 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Record production data, such as weight and amount of product processed, type of product, and time and temperature of processing.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 19 of its 20 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Fill or remove product from trays, carts, hoppers, or equipment, using scoops, peels, or shovels, or by hand.
  2. Observe flow of materials and listen for machine malfunctions, such as jamming or spillage, and notify supervisors if corrective actions fail.
  3. Observe temperature, humidity, pressure gauges, and product samples and adjust controls, such as thermostats and valves, to maintain prescribed operating conditions for specific stages.
  4. Observe, feel, taste, or otherwise examine products during and after processing to ensure conformance to standards.
  5. Operate or tend equipment that roasts, bakes, dries, or cures food items such as cocoa and coffee beans, grains, nuts, and bakery products.
  6. Set temperature and time controls, light ovens, burners, driers, or roasters, and start equipment, such as conveyors, cylinders, blowers, driers, or pumps.

What the job is

Operate or tend food or tobacco roasting, baking, or drying equipment, including hearth ovens, kiln driers, roasters, char kilns, and vacuum drying equipment.

Also called: Roasterman, Coffee Roaster, Smoker, Enrober, Ham Curer, Meringuer, Bun Panner, Drum Drier.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate