AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders?

Estimated risk score: 26 out of 100

Lower replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (7 to 45).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 18 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 51-9051.00 · Production

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 2 of its 18 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Read and interpret work orders and instructions to determine work assignments, process specifications, and production schedules.
  2. Record gauge readings, test results, and shift production in log books.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 16 of its 18 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Press and adjust controls to activate, set, and regulate equipment according to specifications.
  2. Transport materials and products to and from work areas, manually or using carts, handtrucks, or hoists.
  3. Confer with supervisors or other equipment operators to report equipment malfunctions or to resolve production problems.
  4. Examine or test samples of processed substances, or collect samples for laboratory testing, to ensure conformance to specifications.
  5. Monitor equipment operation, gauges, and panel lights to detect deviations from standards.
  6. Clean, lubricate, and adjust equipment, using scrapers, solvents, air hoses, oil, and hand tools.

What the job is

Operate or tend heating equipment other than basic metal, plastic, or food processing equipment. Includes activities such as annealing glass, drying lumber, curing rubber, removing moisture from materials, or boiling soap.

Also called: Kiln Fireman, Dry Kiln Operator, Heater, Stoker, Teaser, Ballman, Glue Cook, Nodulizer.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate