Will AI replace Legislators?
Estimated risk score: 40 out of 100
Lower replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (21 to 59).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 30 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 11-1031.00 · Management
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 4 of its 30 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Write, prepare, and deliver statements for the Congressional Record.
- Conduct "head counts" to help predict the outcome of upcoming votes.
- Maintain knowledge of relevant national and international current events.
- Oversee expense allowances, ensuring that accounts are balanced at the end of each fiscal year.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 7 of its 30 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Attend receptions, dinners, and conferences to meet people, exchange views and information, and develop working relationships.
- Debate the merits of proposals and bill amendments during floor sessions, following the appropriate rules of procedure.
- Vote on motions, amendments, and decisions on whether or not to report a bill out from committee to the assembly floor.
- Appoint nominees to leadership posts, or approve such appointments.
- Hear testimony from constituents, representatives of interest groups, board and commission members, and others with an interest in bills or issues under consideration.
- Represent their government at local, national, and international meetings and conferences.
What the job is
Develop, introduce, or enact laws and statutes at the local, tribal, state, or federal level. Includes only workers in elected positions.
Also called: Senator, Alderman, Delegate, Councilor, Selectman, Councilman, Assemblyman, Congressman.
Closest jobs we score by hand
In the same field (Management). Different jobs, each scored by a person.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate