AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Log Graders and Scalers?

Estimated risk score: 25 out of 100

Lower replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (6 to 44).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 13 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 45-4023.00 · Farming, Fishing, and Forestry

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 2 of its 13 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Record data about individual trees or load volumes into tally books or hand-held collection terminals.
  2. Weigh log trucks before and after unloading, and record load weights and supplier identities.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 8 of its 13 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Jab logs with metal ends of scale sticks, and inspect logs to ascertain characteristics or defects such as water damage, splits, knots, broken ends, rotten areas, twists, and curves.
  2. Paint identification marks of specified colors on logs to identify grades or species, using spray cans, or call out grades to log markers.
  3. Communicate with coworkers by signals to direct log movement.
  4. Drive to sawmills, wharfs, or skids to inspect logs or pulpwood.
  5. Measure log lengths and mark boles for bucking into logs, according to specifications.
  6. Saw felled trees into lengths.

What the job is

Grade logs or estimate the marketable content or value of logs or pulpwood in sorting yards, millpond, log deck, or similar locations. Inspect logs for defects or measure logs to determine volume.

Also called: Log Grader, Log Scaler, Decker, Deckman, Pondman, Log Marker, Log Sorter, Deck Scaler.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate