Will AI replace Manicurists and Pedicurists?
Estimated risk score: 17 out of 100
Very low replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 36).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 18 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 39-5092.00 · Personal Care and Service
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 2 of its 18 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Maintain supply inventories and records of client services.
- Schedule client appointments and accept payments.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 16 of its 18 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Apply undercoat and clear or colored polish onto nails with brush.
- Assess the condition of clients' hands, remove dead skin, and massage hands.
- Clean and sanitize tools and work environment.
- Decorate clients' nails by piercing or attaching ornaments or designs.
- Extend nails using powder, solvent, and paper forms attached to tips of customers' fingers to support and shape artificial nails.
- Polish nails, using powdered polish and buffer.
What the job is
Clean and shape customers' fingernails and toenails. May polish or decorate nails.
Also called: Manicurist, Pedicurist, Nail Technician (Nail Tech), Nail Tech, Nail Artist, Spa Nail Tech, Salon Nail Tech, Fingernail Former.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate