Will AI replace Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education?
Estimated risk score: 44 out of 100
Lower replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (25 to 63).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 35 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 25-2022.00 · Educational Instruction and Library
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 6 of its 35 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.
- Administer standardized ability and achievement tests, and interpret results to determine student strengths and needs.
- Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
- Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
- Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.
- Supervise, evaluate, and plan assignments for teacher assistants and volunteers.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 13 of its 35 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Perform administrative duties, such as school library assistance, hall and cafeteria monitoring, and bus loading and unloading.
- Attend staff meetings and serve on staff committees, as required.
- Confer with parents or guardians, other teachers, counselors, and administrators to resolve students' behavioral and academic problems.
- Coordinate and supervise extracurricular activities, such as clubs, student organizations, and academic contests.
- Enforce all administration policies and rules governing students.
- Establish and enforce rules for behavior and procedures for maintaining order among students.
What the job is
Teach one or more subjects to students at the middle, intermediate, or junior high school level.
Also called: Language Arts Teacher (LA Teacher), LA Teacher, ELA Teacher, Humanities Teacher, Visual Arts Teacher, Intermediate Teacher, Vocal Music Instructor, American History Teacher.
Closest jobs we score by hand
In the same field (Educational Instruction and Library). Different jobs, each scored by a person.
Related jobs, estimated
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate