Will AI replace Political Scientists?
Estimated risk score: 57 out of 100
Moderate replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (38 to 76).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 14 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 19-3094.00 · Life, Physical, and Social Science
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 4 of its 14 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Collect, analyze, and interpret data, such as election results and public opinion surveys, reporting on findings, recommendations, and conclusions.
- Maintain current knowledge of government policy decisions.
- Provide media commentary or criticism related to public policy and political issues and events.
- Write drafts of legislative proposals, and prepare speeches, correspondence, and policy papers for governmental use.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 1 of its 14 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Serve on committees.
What the job is
Study the origin, development, and operation of political systems. May study topics, such as public opinion, political decisionmaking, and ideology. May analyze the structure and operation of governments, as well as various political entities. May conduct public opinion surveys, analyze election results, or analyze public documents.
Also called: Political Analyst, Legislative Analyst, Legislative Liaison, Political Consultant, Political Researcher, Health Policy Analyst, Medical Policy Analyst, Project Policy Analyst.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate