AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers?

Estimated risk score: 9 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 28).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 27 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 51-6041.00 · Production

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 0 of its 27 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

None of its rated tasks.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 23 of its 27 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Align and stitch or glue materials such as fabric, fleece, leather, or wood, to join parts.
  2. Construct, decorate, or repair leather products according to specifications, using sewing machines, needles and thread, leather lacing, glue, clamps, hand tools, or rivets.
  3. Cut out parts, following patterns or outlines, using knives, shears, scissors, or machine presses.
  4. Drill or punch holes and insert or attach metal rings, handles, and fastening hardware, such as buckles.
  5. Dye, soak, polish, paint, stamp, stitch, stain, buff, or engrave leather or other materials to obtain desired effects, decorations, or shapes.
  6. Inspect articles for defects, and remove damaged or worn parts, using hand tools.

What the job is

Construct, decorate, or repair leather and leather-like products, such as luggage, shoes, and saddles. May use hand tools.

Also called: Shoe Repairer, Pad Hand, Repairer, Bootmaker, Shoe Dyer, Shoe Cutter, Skate Maker, Leathersmith.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate