AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Substitute Teachers, Short-Term?

Estimated risk score: 38 out of 100

Lower replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (19 to 57).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 18 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 25-3031.00 · Educational Instruction and Library

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 6 of its 18 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Distribute or collect tests or homework assignments.
  2. Take class attendance and maintain attendance records.
  3. Grade students' assignments and exams.
  4. Answer students' questions.
  5. Follow lesson plans designed by absent teachers.
  6. Operate equipment such as computers or audio-visual aids to supplement presentations.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 10 of its 18 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Assist students with boarding or exiting school buses.
  2. Distribute teaching materials, such as textbooks, workbooks, papers, and pencils, to students.
  3. Restock teaching materials or supplies.
  4. Supervise students during activities outside the classroom, such as recess, lunch, and field trips.
  5. Counsel students with adjustment or academic problems.
  6. Enforce school and class rules to maintain order in the classroom.

What the job is

Teach students on a short-term basis as a temporary replacement for a regular classroom teacher, typically using the regular teacher's lesson plan.

Also called: Sub (Substitute), Sub Teacher (Substitute Teacher), Building Sub (Building Substitute), Short-Term Sub Teacher (Short-Term Substitute Teacher), Sub, Sub TA, ESL Sub, Sub Aide.

Closest jobs we score by hand

In the same field (Educational Instruction and Library). Different jobs, each scored by a person.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate