AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers?

Estimated risk score: 10 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 29).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 30 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 51-4121.00 · Production

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 2 of its 30 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Develop templates and models for welding projects, using mathematical calculations based on blueprint information.
  2. Determine required equipment and welding methods, applying knowledge of metallurgy, geometry, and welding techniques.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 27 of its 30 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Align and clamp workpieces together, using rules, squares, or hand tools, or position items in fixtures, jigs, or vises.
  2. Chip or grind off excess weld, slag, or spatter, using hand scrapers or power chippers, portable grinders, or arc-cutting equipment.
  3. Clean or degrease parts, using wire brushes, portable grinders, or chemical baths.
  4. Connect and turn regulator valves to activate and adjust gas flow and pressure so that desired flames are obtained.
  5. Grind, cut, buff, or bend edges of workpieces to be joined to ensure snug fit, using power grinders and hand tools.
  6. Hammer out bulges or bends in metal workpieces.

What the job is

Use hand-welding, flame-cutting, hand-soldering, or brazing equipment to weld or join metal components or to fill holes, indentations, or seams of fabricated metal products.

Also called: Brazer, Welder, Arc Cutter, Arc Wedler, Arc Welder, Bar Welder, Bit Welder, Die Welder.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate