AI Stole My Job

Estimated risk score: 26 out of 100

Lower replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (7 to 45).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 20 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 35-3011.00 · Food Preparation and Serving Related

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 4 of its 20 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Balance cash receipts.
  2. Plan bar menus.
  3. Collect money for drinks served.
  4. Create drink recipes.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 13 of its 20 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Ask customers who become loud and obnoxious to leave, or physically remove them.
  2. Clean bars, work areas, and tables.
  3. Clean glasses, utensils, and bar equipment.
  4. Mix ingredients, such as liquor, soda, water, sugar, and bitters, to prepare cocktails and other drinks.
  5. Serve snacks or food items to customers seated at the bar.
  6. Serve wine, and bottled or draft beer.

What the job is

Mix and serve drinks to patrons, directly or through waitstaff.

Also called: Mixologist, Bar Captain, Banquet Bartender, Barman, Barkeep, Barkeeper, Bar Tender, Drink Mixer.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate