Will AI replace Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters?
Estimated risk score: 15 out of 100
Very low replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 34).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 20 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 51-7011.00 · Production
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 3 of its 20 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Program computers to operate machinery.
- Design furniture, using computer-aided drawing programs.
- Draw up detailed specifications and discuss projects with customers.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 15 of its 20 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Attach parts or subassemblies together to form completed units, using glue, dowels, nails, screws, or clamps.
- Bore holes for insertion of screws or dowels, by hand or using boring machines.
- Cut timber to the right size, and shape and trim parts of joints to ensure a snug fit, using hand tools, such as planes, chisels, or wood files.
- Install hardware, such as hinges, handles, catches, or drawer pulls, using hand tools.
- Match materials for color, grain, or texture, giving attention to knots or other features of the wood.
- Perform final touch-ups with sandpaper or steel wool.
What the job is
Cut, shape, and assemble wooden articles or set up and operate a variety of woodworking machines, such as power saws, jointers, and mortisers to surface, cut, or shape lumber or to fabricate parts for wood products.
Also called: Cabinetmaker, Frame Builder, Harp Maker, Chair Maker, Hand Carver, Chair Mender, Violin Maker, Boat Oar Maker.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate