AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Model Makers, Wood?

Estimated risk score: 15 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 34).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 14 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 51-7031.00 · Production

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 1 of its 14 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Maintain pattern records for reference.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 11 of its 14 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Build jigs that can be used as guides for assembling oversized or special types of box shooks.
  2. Construct wooden models, patterns, templates, full scale mock-ups, and molds for parts of products and production tools.
  3. Fabricate work aids such as scrapers or templates.
  4. Fit, fasten, and assemble wood parts together to form patterns, models, or sections, using glue, nails, dowels, bolts, screws, and other fasteners.
  5. Mark identifying information on patterns, parts, and templates to indicate assembly methods and details.
  6. Select wooden stock, determine layouts, and mark layouts of parts on stock, using precision equipment such as scribers, squares, and protractors.

What the job is

Construct full-size and scale wooden precision models of products. Includes wood jig builders and loft workers.

Also called: Sample Builder, Lofter, Builder, Jig Builder, Loft Worker, Wood Carver, Wood Craftsman, Wood Last Maker.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate