Will AI replace Driver/Sales Workers?
Estimated risk score: 51 out of 100
Moderate replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (32 to 70).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 12 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 53-3031.00 · Transportation and Material Moving
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 4 of its 12 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Record sales or delivery information on daily sales or delivery record.
- Write customer orders and sales contracts according to company guidelines.
- Collect money from customers, make change, and record transactions on customer receipts.
- Inform regular customers of new products or services and price changes.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 7 of its 12 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Maintain trucks and food-dispensing equipment and clean inside of machines that dispense food or beverages.
- Drive trucks to deliver such items as food, medical supplies, or newspapers.
- Collect coins from vending machines, refill machines, and remove aged merchandise.
- Arrange merchandise and sales promotion displays or issue sales promotion materials to customers.
- Review lists of dealers, customers, or station drops and load trucks.
- Sell food specialties, such as sandwiches and beverages, to office workers and patrons of sports events.
What the job is
Drive truck or other vehicle over established routes or within an established territory and sell or deliver goods, such as food products, including restaurant take-out items, or pick up or deliver items such as commercial laundry. May also take orders, collect payment, or stock merchandise at point of delivery.
Also called: Route Salesman, Driver Salesman, Breadman, Bobtailer, Expressman, Bread Jockey, Delivery Man, Route Jumper.
Closest jobs we score by hand
In the same field (Transportation and Material Moving). Different jobs, each scored by a person.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate