Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers?
Estimated risk score: 40 out of 100
Lower replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (21 to 59).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 30 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 45-1011.00 · Farming, Fishing, and Forestry
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 5 of its 30 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Prepare and maintain time or payroll reports, as well as details of personnel actions, such as performance evaluations, hires, promotions, or disciplinary actions.
- Read inventory records, customer orders, or shipping schedules to determine required activities.
- Record the numbers and types of fish or shellfish reared, harvested, released, sold, and shipped.
- Requisition or purchase supplies, such as insecticides, machine parts or lubricants, or tools.
- Communicate with forestry personnel regarding forest harvesting or forest management plans, procedures, or schedules.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 17 of its 30 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Coordinate dismantling, moving, and setting up equipment at new work sites.
- Drive or operate farm machinery, such as trucks, tractors, or self-propelled harvesters, to transport workers or supplies or to cultivate or harvest fields.
- Issue equipment, such as farm implements, machinery, ladders, or containers to workers, and collect equipment when work is complete.
- Transport or arrange for transport of animals, equipment, food, animal feed, and other supplies to and from work sites.
- Assign tasks such as feeding and treatment of animals, and cleaning and maintenance of animal quarters.
- Confer with managers to evaluate weather or soil conditions, to develop plans or procedures, or to discuss issues such as changes in fertilizers, herbicides, or cultivating techniques.
What the job is
Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of agricultural, forestry, aquacultural, and related workers.
Also called: Farm Supervisor, Logging Supervisor, Saw Boss, Barn Boss, Boom Boss, Camp Boss, Farm Boss, Gamekeeper.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate