AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers?

Estimated risk score: 39 out of 100

Lower replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (20 to 58).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 30 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 33-1021.00 · Protective Service

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 7 of its 30 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Maintain required maps and records.
  2. Perform administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports, or composing correspondence.
  3. Recommend personnel actions related to disciplinary procedures, performance, leaves of absence, and grievances.
  4. Maintain knowledge of fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics.
  5. Study and interpret fire safety codes to establish procedures for issuing permits to handle hazardous or flammable substances.
  6. Communicate fire details to superiors, subordinates, or interagency dispatch centers, using two-way radios.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 11 of its 30 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Direct firefighters in station maintenance duties, and participate in these duties.
  2. Drive crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites.
  3. Provide emergency medical services as required, and perform light to heavy rescue functions at emergencies.
  4. Serve as a working leader of an engine, hand, helicopter, or prescribed fire crew of three or more firefighters.
  5. Assign firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents.
  6. Evaluate fire station procedures to ensure efficiency and enforcement of departmental regulations.

What the job is

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of workers engaged in firefighting and fire prevention and control.

Also called: Fire Chief, Engine Boss, Fire Captain, Fire Battalion Chief, Chief, Crew Boss, Squad Boss, Fire Marshal.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate