Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives?
Estimated risk score: 48 out of 100
Moderate replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (29 to 67).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 20 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 33-1012.00 · Protective Service
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 3 of its 20 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Prepare news releases and respond to police correspondence.
- Review contents of written orders to ensure adherence to legal requirements.
- Maintain logs, prepare reports, and direct the preparation, handling, and maintenance of departmental records.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 9 of its 20 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Conduct raids and order detention of witnesses and suspects for questioning.
- Cooperate with court personnel and officials from other law enforcement agencies and testify in court, as necessary.
- Direct collection, preparation, and handling of evidence and personal property of prisoners.
- Discipline staff for violation of department rules and regulations.
- Explain police operations to subordinates to assist them in performing their job duties.
- Inspect facilities, supplies, vehicles, and equipment to ensure conformance to standards.
What the job is
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of members of police force.
Also called: Patrol Sergeant, Police Sergeant, Police CO, Port Warden, Precinct CO, Chief Deputy, Police Chief, Desk Sergeant.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate