AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers?

Estimated risk score: 47 out of 100

Moderate replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (28 to 66).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 17 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 39-1022.00 · Personal Care and Service

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 4 of its 17 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Assign work schedules, following work requirements, to ensure quality and timely delivery of service.
  2. Requisition necessary supplies, equipment, or services.
  3. Participate in continuing education to stay abreast of industry trends and developments.
  4. Inform management about problems, such as employee disputes.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 4 of its 17 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Inspect work areas or operating equipment to ensure conformance to established standards in areas such as cleanliness or maintenance.
  2. Meet with managers or other supervisors to stay informed of changes affecting operations.
  3. Take disciplinary action to address performance problems.
  4. Train workers in proper operational procedures and functions and explain company policies.

What the job is

Supervise and coordinate activities of personal service workers.

Also called: Direct Care Supervisor, Resident Care Supervisor, Clinical Care Coordinator, Care Guide, Barber Shop Manager, Beauty Shop Manager, Hair Salon Supervisor, Home Care Coordinator.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate