AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Model Makers, Metal and Plastic?

Estimated risk score: 19 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 38).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 16 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 51-4061.00 · Production

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 2 of its 16 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Program computer numerical control (CNC) machines to fabricate model parts.
  2. Use computer-aided design (CAD) and computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software or hardware to fabricate model parts.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 13 of its 16 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Align, fit, and join parts, using bolts and screws or by welding or gluing.
  2. Assemble mechanical, electrical, and electronic components into models or prototypes, using hand tools, power tools, and fabricating machines.
  3. Cut, shape, and form metal parts, using lathes, power saws, snips, power brakes and shears, files, and mallets.
  4. Devise and construct tools, dies, molds, jigs, and fixtures, or modify existing tools and equipment.
  5. Drill, countersink, and ream holes in parts and assemblies for bolts, screws, and other fasteners, using power tools.
  6. Grind, file, and sand parts to finished dimensions.

What the job is

Set up and operate machines, such as lathes, milling and engraving machines, and jig borers to make working models of metal or plastic objects. Includes template makers.

Also called: Molding Technician (Molding Tech), Dioramist, Mockup Maker, Molding Tech, Tool Builder, Display Maker, Mandrel Maker, Mockup Builder.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate