Will AI replace Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic?
Estimated risk score: 19 out of 100
Very low replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 38).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 19 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 51-4023.00 · Production
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 2 of its 19 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Calculate draft space and roll speed for each mill stand to plan rolling sequences and specified dimensions and tempers.
- Record mill production on schedule sheets.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 15 of its 19 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Activate shears and grinders to trim workpieces.
- Adjust and correct machine set-ups to reduce thicknesses, reshape products, and eliminate product defects.
- Direct and train other workers to change rolls, operate mill equipment, remove coils and cobbles, and band and load material.
- Fill oil cups, adjust valves, and observe gauges to control flow of metal coolants and lubricants onto workpieces.
- Install equipment such as guides, guards, gears, cooling equipment, and rolls, using hand tools.
- Manipulate controls and observe dial indicators to monitor, adjust, and regulate speeds of machine mechanisms.
What the job is
Set up, operate, or tend machines to roll steel or plastic forming bends, beads, knurls, rolls, or plate, or to flatten, temper, or reduce gauge of material.
Also called: Tube Mill Operator, Roughing Mill Operator, Flanger, Rougher, Bar Roller, Bulldogger, Hot Roller, Cold Roller.
Related jobs, estimated
- Model Makers, Metal and Plasticestimate ±1919Very low
- Patternmakers, Metal and Plasticestimate ±1919Very low
- Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plasticestimate ±1918Very low
- Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tendersestimate ±1920Very low
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate