Will AI replace Musicians and Singers?
Estimated risk score: 31 out of 100
Lower replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (12 to 50).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 30 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 27-2042.00 · Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 11 of its 30 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Transpose music to alternate keys, or to fit individual styles or purposes.
- Make or participate in recordings in music studios.
- Make or participate in recordings.
- Arrange and edit music to fit style and purpose.
- Interpret or modify music, applying knowledge of harmony, melody, rhythm, and voice production to individualize presentations and maintain audience interest.
- Play from memory or by following scores.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 12 of its 30 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Audition for orchestras, bands, or other musical groups.
- Listen to recordings to master pieces or to maintain and improve skills.
- Observe choral leaders or prompters for cues or directions in vocal presentation.
- Play musical instruments as soloists, or as members or guest artists of musical groups such as orchestras, ensembles, or bands.
- Sight-read musical parts during rehearsals.
- Specialize in playing a specific family of instruments or a particular type of music.
What the job is
Play one or more musical instruments or sing. May perform on stage, for broadcasting, or for sound or video recording.
Also called: Singer, Musician, Violinist, Choir Member, Tenor, Bugler, Oboist, Rapper.
Closest jobs we score by hand
In the same field (Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media). Different jobs, each scored by a person.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate