Will AI replace Natural Sciences Managers?
Estimated risk score: 46 out of 100
Moderate replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (27 to 65).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 16 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 11-9121.00 · Management
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 3 of its 16 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
- Prepare and administer budgets, approve and review expenditures, and prepare financial reports.
- Prepare project proposals.
- Conduct own research in field of expertise.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 0 of its 16 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
None of its rated tasks.
What the job is
Plan, direct, or coordinate activities in such fields as life sciences, physical sciences, mathematics, statistics, and research and development in these fields.
Also called: Chemical Process Exploration Manager, Research and Development Director (R and D Director), R & D Manager, Gravity Manager, R and D Director, Quarrying Manager, Water Team Leader, Wild Life Manager.
Closest jobs we score by hand
In the same field (Management). Different jobs, each scored by a person.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate