AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Signal and Track Switch Repairers?

Estimated risk score: 15 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 34).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 14 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 49-9097.00 · Installation, Maintenance, and Repair

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 1 of its 14 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Record and report information about mileage or track inspected, repairs performed, and equipment requiring replacement.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 13 of its 14 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Clean lenses of lamps with cloths and solvents.
  2. Drive motor vehicles to job sites.
  3. Inspect and test operation, mechanical parts, and circuitry of gate crossings, signals, and signal equipment such as interlocks and hotbox detectors.
  4. Inspect electrical units of railroad grade crossing gates and repair loose bolts and defective electrical connections and parts.
  5. Inspect, maintain, and replace batteries as needed.
  6. Lubricate moving parts on gate-crossing mechanisms and swinging signals.

What the job is

Install, inspect, test, maintain, or repair electric gate crossings, signals, signal equipment, track switches, section lines, or intercommunications systems within a railroad system.

Also called: Signalman, Train Control Electronic Technician, Signal Expert, Signal Worker, Gate Technician, Signal Technician, Rail Signal Designer, Rail Signal Mechanic.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate