AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Upholsterers?

Estimated risk score: 12 out of 100

Very low replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (0 to 31).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 22 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 51-6093.00 · Production

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 3 of its 22 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Maintain records of time required to perform each job.
  2. Read work orders, and apply knowledge and experience with materials to determine types and amounts of materials required to cover workpieces.
  3. Discuss upholstery fabrics, colors, and styles with customers, and provide cost estimates.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 15 of its 22 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Adjust or replace webbing, padding, or springs, and secure them in place.
  2. Attach fasteners, grommets, buttons, buckles, ornamental trim, and other accessories to covers or frames, using hand tools.
  3. Build furniture up with loose fiber stuffing, cotton, felt, or foam padding to form smooth, rounded surfaces.
  4. Fit, install, and secure material on frames, using hand tools, power tools, glue, cement, or staples.
  5. Interweave and fasten strips of webbing to the backs and undersides of furniture, using small hand tools and fasteners.
  6. Make, restore, or create custom upholstered furniture, using hand tools and knowledge of fabrics and upholstery methods.

What the job is

Make, repair, or replace upholstery for household furniture or transportation vehicles.

Also called: Box Spring Upholsterer, Upholstered Goods Crafter, Arm Maker, Gimp Tacker, Seat Coverer, Top Installer, Car Seat Maker, Casket Coverer.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate