Will AI replace Desktop Publishers?
Estimated risk score: 92 out of 100
Very high replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (73 to 100).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 18 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 43-9031.00 · Office and Administrative Support
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 17 of its 18 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Store copies of publications on paper, magnetic tape, film, or diskette.
- Load floppy disks or tapes containing information into system.
- Check preliminary and final proofs for errors and make necessary corrections.
- Convert various types of files for printing or for the Internet, using computer software.
- Enter text into computer keyboard and select the size and style of type, column width, and appropriate spacing for printed materials.
- Study layout or other design instructions to determine work to be done and sequence of operations.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 0 of its 18 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.
None of its rated tasks.
What the job is
Format typescript and graphic elements using computer software to produce publication-ready material.
Also called: Publisher, Electronic Console Display Operator, Paginator, DTP Operator, Design Editor, Online Publisher, Digital Publisher, Electronic Imager.
Closest jobs we score by hand
In the same field (Office and Administrative Support). Different jobs, each scored by a person.
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate