AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric?

Estimated risk score: 33 out of 100

Lower replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (14 to 52).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 15 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 29-1242.00 · Healthcare Practitioners and Technical

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 1 of its 15 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Prepare case histories.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 6 of its 15 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Examine instruments, equipment, and operating room to ensure sterility.
  2. Follow established surgical techniques during the operation.
  3. Operate on patient's musculoskeletal system to correct deformities, repair injuries, prevent and treat diseases, or improve or restore patient's functions.
  4. Provide consultation and surgical assistance to other physicians and surgeons.
  5. Diagnose bodily disorders and orthopedic conditions, and provide treatments, such as medicines and surgeries, in clinics, hospital wards, or operating rooms.
  6. Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, assistants, specialists, residents, and other medical staff.

What the job is

Diagnose and perform surgery to treat and prevent rheumatic and other diseases in the musculoskeletal system.

Also called: Orthopedic Surgeon, Orthopaedic Surgeon, Orthopedic Physician, Orthopedic Hand Surgeon, Orthopedic Spine Surgeon, Orthopedic Trauma Surgeon, General Orthopedic Surgeon, Orthopedic Surgery Physician.

Closest jobs we score by hand

In the same field (Healthcare Practitioners and Technical). Different jobs, each scored by a person.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate