AI Stole My Job

Will AI replace Pediatric Surgeons?

Estimated risk score: 33 out of 100

Lower replacement risk

Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate

Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (14 to 52).

For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 18 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.

O*NET-SOC 29-1243.00 · Healthcare Practitioners and Technical

Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up

Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 2 of its 18 rated tasks. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Prepare case histories.
  2. Describe preoperative and postoperative treatments and procedures, such as sedatives, diets, antibiotics, or preparation and treatment of the patient's operative area, to parents or guardians of the patient.

Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI

Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 7 of its 18 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.

  1. Follow established surgical techniques during the operation.
  2. Operate on fetuses, infants, children, and adolescents to correct deformities, repair injuries, prevent and treat diseases, or improve or restore patients' functions.
  3. Perform transplantation operations, such as organ transplants, on fetuses, infants, children, and adolescents.
  4. Provide consultation and surgical assistance to other physicians and surgeons.
  5. Examine fetuses, infants, children, and adolescents, and diagnose health issues to determine need for intervention, such as surgery.
  6. Examine instruments, equipment, and operating room to ensure sterility.

What the job is

Diagnose and perform surgery to treat fetal abnormalities and birth defects, diseases, and injuries in fetuses, premature and newborn infants, children, and adolescents. Includes all pediatric surgical specialties and subspecialties.

Also called: Thoracic Surgeon, Eye Surgeon, Heart Doctor, Neurosurgeon, Brain Surgeon, Heart Surgeon, Cardiac Surgeon, Plastic Surgeon.

Closest jobs we score by hand

In the same field (Healthcare Practitioners and Technical). Different jobs, each scored by a person.

Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate