Will AI replace Travel Guides?
Estimated risk score: 50 out of 100
Moderate replacement risk
Estimate from published task research, not reviewed by a person · how we estimate
Within about 19 points for 4 in 5 of the jobs we checked (31 to 69).
For the occupation as a whole, from ratings of its 17 O*NET tasks published in 2023 and calibrated to our hand scores. A specialty inside it can sit higher or lower.
O*NET-SOC 39-7012.00 · Personal Care and Service
Tasks rated in 2023 as ones AI could do or speed up
Tasks a GPT-4-class model could do, or do in half the time or less: 7 of its 17 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Pay bills and record checks issued.
- Give advice on sightseeing and shopping.
- Plan tour itineraries, applying knowledge of travel routes and destination sites.
- Sell travel packages.
- Provide tourists with assistance in obtaining permits and documents such as visas, passports, and health certificates, and in converting currency.
- Evaluate services received on the tour, and report findings to tour organizers.
Tasks rated in 2023 as not sped up by AI
Tasks such a model was rated as not speeding up or taking over: 8 of its 17 rated tasks; the first 6 are shown. In O*NET’s words.
- Administer first aid to injured group participants.
- Attend to special needs of tour participants.
- Instruct novices in climbing techniques, mountaineering, and wilderness survival, and demonstrate use of hunting, fishing, and climbing equipment.
- Pilot airplanes or drive land and water vehicles to transport tourists to activity or tour sites.
- Set up camps, and prepare meals for tour group members.
- Verify amounts and quality of equipment prior to expeditions or tours.
What the job is
Plan, organize, and conduct long-distance travel, tours, and expeditions for individuals and groups.
Also called: Tour Manager, Raft Guide, River Guide, Trail Guide, Cruise Agent, Cruise Guide, Program Guide, Tour Operator.
Related jobs, estimated
Source. This site includes information from the O*NET 30.1 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. (O*NET, CC BY 4.0.) Task ratings: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin and Rock (2023), “GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models”, data used under the MIT licence (licence texts). Our change: we averaged the ratings over this occupation’s tasks and calibrated them to our 0–100 scale. It is not a prediction about any one person and not career advice. Disagree? Write to hello@yourstopwashit.com. How we estimate